Institute Decreases Forecasts for German Economy Due to Struggle

Germany’s Economy Faces Uncertain Future as Kiel Institute for World Economy Slashes Growth Forecast

The German economy is facing challenges, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW). Stefan Kooths, from the IFW, noted that growth in Germany will only be 0.1% this year, a significant decrease from previous expectations of 1.3%. This decline in economic output can be attributed to several factors including slower private consumption, declining exports despite global economic growth and a struggling construction industry. While there may be a slight recovery in the spring, overall momentum is expected to remain weak.

One of the factors affecting Germany’s economy is political uncertainty as the government struggles to finalize a growth package. The German Chamber of Industry and Commerce has echoed these concerns, pointing to high energy costs, a shortage of skilled labor and geopolitical uncertainties impacting export business. Despite these challenges, experts predict that the phase of very high inflation rates experienced since the middle of last year may be over. Consumer prices are expected to rise by 2.3% this year and by 1.8% next year, providing some relief for consumers.

The institute has left its forecast for next year virtually unchanged at 1.4%. However, it’s important to note that while these challenges exist, they are not insurmountable and with proper policy measures and interventions from the government and other stakeholders, Germany can overcome them and continue to grow economically in the future.


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